Redundant — scored on the bench, but no slot could use them
Team
Conf
Net
Owner
Pod
Wasted — a bench team that could have been swapped in
Team
Conf
Pts Gained
Instead Of
Owner
Pod
Top Unowned Scores (League-Wide)
Team
Conf
Net
Free Agent In
Games by Pod & Ownership
Pick Similarity
Cross-Pod — Same Teams Picked
Which teams two players both picked this week, regardless of the slot each used. Same-pod players can’t share a team.
Ranked by matching teams
Pair
Matching
Shared Impact
Shared Teams
Ranked by shared impact (Σ |margin|)
Pair
Shared Impact
Matching
Shared Teams
Every Pair — Points Per Slot
Slot for slot, how close were the points? Conference slots pair by conference; the flex slots pair best-to-best by margin. Lower distance = more alike. Same-direction slots are where both picks won, both lost, or both hit zero.
Welcome to the official start of the 2026 season! This is the first year with 6 players across two pods, but drafting seems to have gone off without a hitch. Today is the “week 0” games and the first week of our game starts on Thursday. Before the start I thought I’d like to recap where we stand and summarize the draft.
Draft report
To set the stage, lets look at who all players drafted:
Pick number
Bruce
Bob
Dan
Dylan
Jacob
Zach
1
Ohio State
Georgia
Notre Dame
Ohio State
Notre Dame
Oregon
2
Texas Tech
Miami
Oregon
Georgia
SMU
Miami
3
BYU
Indiana
Western Michigan
Houston
Texas Tech
Indiana
4
LSU
Boise State
Clemson
Penn State
Toledo
Boise State
5
SMU
Utah
Texas A&M
Clemson
Texas A&M
LSU
6
UNLV
James Madison
Ole Miss
Navy
Delaware
BYU
7
Penn State
Texas
Navy
James Madison
Tennessee
Jacksonville State
8
San Diego State
Liberty
Louisiana
Liberty
South Florida
UConn
9
UTSA
Toledo
New Mexico
San Diego State
UNLV
UTSA
10
Old Dominion
North Dakota State
Alabama
North Dakota State
Virginia
Texas
11
Jacksonville State
Houston
Iowa State
Alabama
Miami (OH)
Western Michigan
12
Miami (OH)
Louisville
Oklahoma
Arizona
Iowa
New Mexico
13
Fresno State
Michigan
Cincinnati
Texas State
Old Dominion
Marshall
14
Memphis
South Florida
Kennesaw State
California
Kansas State
Michigan
15
USC
East Carolina
Ohio
Ole Miss
Fresno State
South Carolina
16
Tennessee
Hawai’i
TCU
Memphis
Washington
Utah
17
Missouri
Kansas State
Florida State
USC
Tulane
Arkansas State
18
Virginia
Western Kentucky
Air Force
Western Kentucky
Ohio
Louisville
19
Middle Tennessee
Marshall
App State
UCF
Nebraska
Army
20
Arizona State
Tulane
Oregon State
South Alabama
Nevada
Kennesaw State
21
NC State
Central Michigan
Army
Oklahoma
Vanderbilt
Troy
22
Nevada
Pittsburgh
Sam Houston
North Texas
Missouri State
Utah State
23
Troy
Iowa
Colorado
Air Force
TCU
Buffalo
24
Washington State
Texas State
Northern Illinois
Louisiana
Oregon State
Virginia Tech
25
Buffalo
Florida
Georgia Tech
Washington State
Pittsburgh
Arizona State
26
Virginia Tech
Washington
Florida Atlantic
NC State
East Carolina
Florida Atlantic
27
Louisiana Tech
Arizona
UTEP
Kansas
Illinois
Hawai’i
28
North Texas
Delaware
Utah State
Duke
Southern Miss
Florida
29
West Virginia
South Carolina
Illinois
Central Michigan
Sacramento State
Eastern Michigan
30
South Alabama
Arkansas State
Colorado State
Wisconsin
Baylor
Wake Forest
For a 1-90 draft order by pod, see the supplementary tables below. Using these draft numbers, we’ll look at some trends about team strengths and how we collectively viewed these teams and conferences.
Draft results by player
To get a first glance at how each roster stacks up superficially, we can take all teams’ FPIs and add them up. The table below shows the total and average FPI of every player’s total roster:
Player
Pod
Total roster FPI
Average FPI
Bob
White Pod
137.1
4.57
Dylan
Orange Pod
106.4
3.55
Jacob
Orange Pod
94.5
3.15
Zach
Orange Pod
89.1
2.97
Bruce
White Pod
71.8
2.39
Dan
White Pod
29.0
0.97
But average doesn’t mean much when you’re barely playing about half the teams each week. We can also create a “starting lineup” for each player based on those FPI measures. For each player, I’ve slotted in a theoretical lineup based on our scoring format (top from each conference, then next 3 best P4 and 2 best G6 teams, then best remaining). Based on the sums of FPIs, the best projected average lineup is Bob with an FPI of 138.9. You can see the full results in the table below:
Player
Pod
Starting-lineup FPI (16 slots)
Bob
White Pod
138.9
Zach
Orange Pod
127.1
Bruce
White Pod
113.6
Dylan
Orange Pod
113.2
Jacob
Orange Pod
107.6
Dan
White Pod
103.1
Next, we can look at the “bench” for each player, or the FPI of their remaining 14 teams. Bob again has the highest:
Player
Pod
Bench FPI (remaining 14 teams)
Bob
White Pod
-1.8
Dylan
Orange Pod
-6.9
Jacob
Orange Pod
-13.1
Zach
Orange Pod
-38.1
Bruce
White Pod
-41.8
Dan
White Pod
-74.1
Of course, this is a very shallow prediction – FPI in the early season isn’t very valuable with no data to base it on, and it doesn’t account for the game, and even when it’s got data it’ll be of limited value because of the huge variance in game-to-game results.
As I said, FPI isn’t a super great metric to base predictions on at this stage. But let’s just go for it. In this section, I’ve made a really rough roster-strength screener. I got the FPI measure for both teams in every FBS game this season (and put in a flat -30 for FCS opponents). For each game, I added +1.5 FPI to the home team and -1.5 to the away team to account for home-field advantage. Then, for every game where the favorite had at least a +1.0 adjFPI advantage, I added that advantage to the player total who owned them. The table below shows the total favorable FPI of all teams for each player for all games where they have an FPI advantage.
Player
Pod
Favorable adj-FPI edge
Favorable games
Edge excl. FCS
Games excl. FCS
Bob
White Pod
3310.4
254
2358.0
228
Jacob
Orange Pod
3057.0
234
2131.9
208
Zach
Orange Pod
3025.3
225
2063.4
197
Dylan
Orange Pod
2890.6
221
2003.4
195
Bruce
White Pod
2867.8
220
2007.4
194
Dan
White Pod
2563.0
191
1653.6
163
By that metric, the top team this year is Notre Dame with a +282 (owned by Jacob and Dan), followed by Texas Tech at +258 (Jacob and Bruce), Indiana at +252 (Bob and Zach), and Ohio State at +250 (Bruce and Dylan). One thing to look out for as the season progresses is how schedules line up. It’s possible that some of us may have a lot of really favorable games but they fall on weeks where they can’t all be played, leaving a lot of points orphaned.
Draft results by team and conference
The more interesting details, in my mind, are looking at the draft and seeing how the six of us collectively ranked and prioritized these teams. There was very strong consensus across the top of the board: the top 5 teams were the same, just shuffled, and of the next 5 there were 3 that were only 1 pick different between pods. Below are the top 10 (in this section, teams were score 90-0 where first pick got 90, last pick got 1, and undrafted teams got 0).
Rank
Team
Conf
Orange pts
White pts
Total pts
1
Notre Dame
P4_IND
90
89
179
2
Ohio State
B1G
88
90
178
3
Oregon
B1G
89
86
175
4
Georgia
SEC
87
88
175
5
Miami
ACC
86
87
173
6
Texas Tech
B12
84
85
169
7
Indiana
B1G
83
82
165
8
SMU
ACC
85
78
163
9
Boise State
PAC
80
81
161
10
BYU
B12
74
84
158
There were 34 teams that went undrafted in both pods, and 28 teams that went undrafted in one pod. Of that 28, these are the top 10 teams that were picked in one pod but not the other:
Team
Pick
Drafted by
UConn
23
Zach (Orange Pod)
Iowa State
32
Dan (White Pod)
Cincinnati
38
Dan (White Pod)
California
40
Dylan (Orange Pod)
Missouri
49
Bruce (White Pod)
Florida State
50
Dan (White Pod)
Nebraska
55
Jacob (Orange Pod)
Middle Tennessee
55
Bruce (White Pod)
App State
56
Dan (White Pod)
UCF
57
Dylan (Orange Pod)
The clear outlier here is UConn, picked a full 9 spots higher than the next highest singleton and solidly in the top 1/3 of the draft. Overall, it seems like the White Pod was more likely to reach on some of these teams that we were less in agreement about, with 4 of the next 5. There are also some notable disagreements among teams that both pods drafted. The clear winner in this regard is Delaware, who was drafted 64 spots higher in Orange Pod than White Pod. The biggest disagreements are shown in this table:
Team
Conf
Orange pick
White pick
Gap (spots)
Delaware
CUSA
18
82
64
Louisiana
SBC
70
23
47
Arizona
B12
34
81
47
South Carolina
SEC
44
87
43
Arkansas State
SBC
50
88
38
Hawai’i
MWC
80
46
34
East Carolina
AAC
78
45
33
Iowa
B1G
36
69
33
South Alabama
SBC
58
90
32
Utah
B12
47
15
32
All of these teams are probably going to be pretty bad, so there’s not a lot of damage done here. But this may be an example of the opportunity cost of these picks; the player that picked them might have been able to get a better team elsewhere and still picked up this one later in the draft.
Here you can see all the picks vs FPI which represents the trend nicely. In the early picks, not only is there a higher percentage of high FPI picks early, but the correlation is much stronger. As we get to the later rounds, there’s still an obviously downward trend, but the correlation is so loose it’s probably statistically insignicant (I didn’t do the math, just eyeballed it).
There’s a noticeable cluster of highly picked but not super high FPI teams, highlighed in the red ellipse. These could be teams to look out for; they probably had a lot of talent but a lot of question marks, so if things come together they could be good for a ton of points, or they could be this year’s version of 2025 Penn State. There are 5 of these teams that are picked in both pods, and 4 in one pod but not the other. These teams by player selected:
Player
Team
Pick num (overall)
FPI
Bruce
BYU
7
13.125
Bruce
SMU
13
11.117
Bruce
Penn State
19
13.716
Bob
Boise State
10
4.045
Bob
Utah
15
8.451
Dan
Clemson
11
13.421
Dan
Ole Miss
17
16.029
Dylan
Houston
9
7.120
Dylan
Penn State
10
13.716
Dylan
Clemson
15
13.421
Jacob
SMU
6
11.117
Jacob
Tennessee
19
15.058
Zach
Boise State
11
4.045
Zach
BYU
17
13.125
Draft results by conference
Next, we can look at how we all drafted the conferences. It should surprise no one that the SEC and the Big Ten are head-and-shoulders ahead of the pack, reflecting that the “P4” is more like “P2, and also 2 pretty good conferences.” But because both are so big and so good at the top, they actually had a lower pick rate – between the 6 of us, we only picked 12 SEC and 11 Big Ten teams (out of 16 and 18, respectively) but we picked 8/10 C-USA and Mountain West, all but one Big 12 team, and every Pac “12” team (8/8, obviously). The table below lists the conferences by total pick points:
Conference
Tier
Teams picked
In conference
Total pick points
Avg pts / picked team
Avg pick #
SEC
P4
12
16
1204
100.3
36.3
B1G
P4
11
18
1052
95.6
38.4
B12
P4
15
16
1045
69.7
45.6
ACC
P4
13
17
928
71.4
46.8
AAC
G6
9
14
749
83.2
49.4
SBC
G6
10
14
621
62.1
54.5
CUSA
G6
8
10
598
74.8
45.0
MWC
G6
8
10
589
73.6
48.9
PAC
G6
8
8
589
73.6
51.7
MAC
G6
8
13
568
71.0
50.4
We picked the ACC and Big 12 surprisingly low, which reflects (and possibly validates) my belief that those conferences are really a crapshoot beyond Miami and Texas Tech. There are so many teams in each that are nearly interchangeable that it’s better for the mechanics of this game to pick the G6 teams with the higher marginal value of getting the decent G6 teams before they’re gone and you’re stuck with something abysmal. That is more apparent in this next table. In this table, I’ve switched from the average to the top n teams in each conference (top single team, top 2 teams, top 4 teams, and top 8 teams):
Conference
Tier
Top 1
Top 2
Top 4
Top 8
B1G
P4
178
353
671
996
SEC
P4
175
331
618
1057
ACC
P4
173
336
590
826
B12
P4
169
327
587
870
AAC
G6
146
277
489
721
MAC
G6
143
285
484
568
PAC
G6
161
292
467
589
MWC
G6
139
265
446
589
SBC
G6
145
260
436
602
CUSA
G6
138
269
433
598
This, again, at least confirms that I’m not alone but also possibly validates my opinion that the Big Ten has overtaken the SEC in the elite, top of conference teams, but the SEC is deeper and has the best middle group of teams of any conference. And it also puts the conferences in roughly an order that would be hard to debate (SEC and Big Ten above all, ACC and Big 12 below them but well above the G6, and American well above the rest of the G6).
Here is a graphic representation of how the conferences stacked up. The G6 FPIs show why raw FPI totals aren’t necessarily a perfect metric. If you overdraft P4 teams, you could have a lot of relatively higher FPI teams sitting on the bench every week and open spots in the G6.
Next up
With all that said, the season is about as predictable as the weather so it may very well turn out that none of us know what we’re talking about and these picks were all terrible. But that’s the fun of sports and this game. As previously stated, week 0 starts today. Between us, every game has at least one team owned by one player, and in 3/8 games both teams are owned in both pods. Several of us will be banking points and all of us will be getting some data on at least a few of our teams. These games (and their teams’ respective owners) are:
Eastern Michigan (Zach) vs Sacramento State (Jacob)
Florida State (Dan) vs New Mexico State (unowned)
North Dakota State (Bob, Dylan) vs Jacksonville State (Bruce, Zach)
Stanford (unowned) vs Hawai’i (Bob, Zach)
TCU (Dan, Jacob) vs North Carolina (unowned)
USC (Bruce, Dylan) vs San José State (unowned)
Virginia (Bruce, Jacob) vs NC State (Bruce, Dylan)
UNLV (Bruce, Jacob) vs Memphis (Bruce, Dylan)
Week 1 starts Thursday, September 3, with 11 Thursday night games and goes through the Labor Day game on Monday, September 7.
My picks for games of the day this week (week 1)
Thursday – only 1 game looks even remotely intriguing – Colorado @ Georgia Tech (7/11 games are FBS vs FCS, and 2 of the 3 FBS games feature UMass and Akron who might actually be worse than some of the FCS teams)
Friday – San Jose State @ Eastern Michigan – both are dark horse possiblities to win their conferences or at least be competitive, and it’s the only game with a single digit spread. Side note: only one other game has a <20 spread, and that’s Toledo at Michigan State (MSU-10). Mel Tucker really blew that program up; how hard is it to just be normal?
Sunday – only day where all the games look at least decent, my pick would be Louisville @ Ole Miss which is literally the only ranked vs ranked matchup of the whole weekend (side note – what are we even doing here if that’s possible!?). But Wisconsin @ Notre Dame has an outside chance; Wisconsin could be a sneaky good team.
Monday – only one game on Monday, SMU @ FSU
Matchups for week 1
Bob vs Zach
Bruce vs Jacob
Dan vs Dylan
Conclusions
No conclusions, just wanted to get your attention to say good luck and have fun! Looking forward to a great season.
Supplementary tables
The full 1–90 pick order for each pod, referenced above.
2026 CFB Season Scoring Guide — PVP, Playoffs & Standings
2026 · 6 Players · 2 Pods
2026 CFB Scoring Guide
PVP, Playoff Bracket, and Standings Rules
Orange PodDylanJacobZach
White PodBruceBobDan
01
PVP Matchups
Weeks 1–10, double round robin; every player faces every other player exactly twice.
Lap 2 (weeks 6–10) repeats the lap 1 pairings in the same order.
Wk
Matchups
1 / 6
BobvZachcross
BrucevJacobcross
DanvDylancross
2 / 7
BobvJacobcross
ZachvDylanin-pod
BrucevDanin-pod
3 / 8
BobvDylancross
JacobvDancross
ZachvBrucecross
4 / 9
BobvDanin-pod
DylanvBrucecross
JacobvZachin-pod
5 / 10
BobvBrucein-pod
DanvZachcross
DylanvJacobin-pod
02
PVP Standings
This is your head-to-head record from the ladder above. Playoff seeding is determined by this record.
Each week’s matchup goes to whoever scores higher that week. Across all 10 games, you’re ranked by win percentage (a tie counts as half a win).
If two or more players finish level on win percentage
Head-to-headrecord, counting only games against the players still tied
Point marginnet margin, counting only games against the players still tied
Point marginnet margin across the full season, every game
Commissioner’s callIf it makes it to this tiebreaker, we’ll figure something out.
Each step only re-examines whoever the previous step failed to separate. A group of four splitting into “two clear, two still tied” drops just that pair into the next step. This ranking only runs once the regular season is fully played; mid-season ties just display as ties.
03
Playoff Bracket
Weeks 11–13, six-team single elimination with consolation games for every remaining spot.
Seeds 1–2
The two Pod winners, ranked against each other by the PVP standing above.
Seeds 3–6
Everyone else, in overall standing order — pod doesn’t matter here. All three players from one pod could make it.
Each tile is a matchup. Placement tiles sit under the week they’re actually decided: 5th/6th under week 12, 3rd/4th consolation game alongside the championship in week 13.
There will be an exhibition between 5th and 6th in the final week of the season, but the final standings in the playoff results table will be the penultimate week (12). Week 13 for the eliminated players is basically a bowl game.
04
Standings Rules
Two more scoring tracks run during the season in addition to the PVP standing above.
Track A
Match Play
Every week, your rank against the other five players that week pays out; margin of win or loss doesn’t matter. Same base points awarded every week:
1st5
2nd4
3rd3
4th2
5th1
6th0
Plus three stackable +1 bonuses, every week:
Best in your own pod that week+1
Your pod outscored the other pod, combined+1
Best score of all six players that week+1
Max 8 pts/week (5 base + 3 bonus) · season rank = total points
Track B
Point Play
Simple total of every week’s raw net point margin, all season long, and rank players by that running total.
No weekly cap · season rank = cumulative net margin